…well anyone that is even semi-regularly reading my blog will realise by now I’m trying hard to avoid the bad beat stories. It has to be the most tempting thing in poker, to cry to the world how if only you just ran normal, then your winrate would be awesome … and yet noone wants to hear it, becuase everyone struggles with variance to some extent.
So with that out of the way … I’m not really going to tell a bad beat story – more of a cooler story. Becuase in the last 72 hours, I have run KK into AA no less than SIX TIMES. Yep 6 … in what could not be more than 1000 hands of poker. 5 online and one live. What are the odds of that ??? I’m getting to the point where I flinch when I see the first K dealt! Fortunately the last one I sucked out and hit a K on the river, or otherwise I think my mouse might have been in danger …
Despite what it fairly obviously just a horrendous short term run of variance, it is more interesting becuase I have been playing more and more on UB where the average VPIP of games is usually over 50. This means the games are ultra juicy but the swings are obviously going to be way bigger. I have trouble giving 55+ VPIP players for a hand, I get three or four bet and assume that because they are mega loose their range must be wide. I think I need to start realising that this isnt necessarily the case in raised or re-raised pots.
